Solid Gains Across the Board!
Our momentum picked up steam this week, as the model delivered an average return of +5.4% driven by balanced performance across the platform. Overs accounted for +2.0% of the average return and Unders continued dominating, returning an impressive +3.4%. This week’s strong returns demonstrate the value of staying consistent, as market dynamics aligned well with our model’s predictions.
Looking at individual matchups, the Rams @ Seahawks (+2.0%) and Bears @ Cardinals (+1.3%) led the way, while Patriots @ Titans (-1.3%) was the only real sore spot. At the prop market level, Field Goals Made had a strong performance returning +1.4%, followed by Rush Attempts (+1.3%) and Receptions (+1.3%). On the flip side, Rush Yards dipped -1.4% after leading the way last week (+2.3).
The top crowd-pleasers of the week included Kyler Murray (+2.0%), Joe Flacco (+1.5%), and Austin Seibert (+1.2%), each contributing as we projected. Honorable mention to Raheem Mostert (+1.2%) for delivering an easy first half cash on his rushing yards props as well.
On a year-to-date basis, we’re thrilled to see our overall return rise to +9.5% for the 2024 season. The Unders are still dominating with +20.2% returns, while Overs have improved slightly, but are still down -10.7%. The model continues to benefit from adjustments and refinements, and Week 9’s performance is a testament to our ensemble approach’s robustness.
Week 9 truly reinforced the value of our machine learning process, demonstrating how the model really can get smarter with time. We’re thrilled with the balanced gains this week as well, underlining the power of diversification in our betting strategy.
As we head into Week 10, we’re feeling more confident than ever. Our model’s ability to evolve and capitalize on emerging trends is setting us up for continued success. Thanks for being part of the journey—we’re excited to see what Week 10 has in store!
Let’s keep the momentum going and make Week 10 just as successful!